- Adam Brody – Nobody Wants This (Netflix) as Noah Roklov
- Seth Rogen – The Studio (Apple TV+) as Matt Remick
- Jason Segel – Shrinking (Apple TV+) as Jimmy Laird
- Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building (Hulu) as Oliver Putnam
- Jeremy Allen White – The Bear (FX) as Carmen “Carmy” Berzatto
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What the Experts Predict:
Los Angeles Times points to Seth Rogen as the frontrunner, while noting that Martin Short and Jeremy Allen White remain strong contenders. Jason Segel and Adam Brody are seen as trailing but still in the race.
Entertainment Weekly also has Seth Rogen on top, citing The Studio’s industry buzz and Emmy-friendly appeal. Still, they highlight Jason Segel as the “should-win” for his heartfelt, comedic performance in Shrinking.
Next Best Picture staff consensus likewise ranks Rogen first, followed by Martin Short, White, Segel, and Brody in that order, underlining broad agreement that Rogen is the safe bet while Segel and Short could play spoiler.
In summary: Seth Rogen (The Studio) is the clear frontrunner, backed by strong industry buzz and expert consensus. Jason Segel (Shrinking) stands out as the critics’ alternative favourite.
My Prediction:
I’m leaning toward Seth Rogen. His performance has the attention and praise that usually lead to an Emmy win.
If I Had the Vote:
My ballot would match my prediction. I’d give it to Seth Rogen for his outstanding performance in a show that brilliantly combines humour and vitality. His role ties the entire series together in a way that’s both smart and entertaining. I’m rooting for Seth to take home the award based on his exceptional work in the show that perfectly encapsulates his talent.