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The Bear: “Napkins” – Ayo Edebiri (FX)
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Hacks: “A Slippery Slope” – Lucia Aniello (HBO Max)
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Mid-Century Modern: “Here’s To You, Mrs. Schneiderman” – James Burrows (Hulu)
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The Rehearsal: “Pilot’s Code” – Nathan Fielder (HBO)
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The Studio: “The Oner” – Seth Rogen & Evan Goldberg (Apple TV+)
What the Experts Predict:
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Los Angeles Times points to The Bear: “Napkins” as the frontrunner, calling Ayo Edebiri’s work both emotional and stylish, a rare combination that stands out in a comedy race.
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Variety leans toward The Studio: “The Oner”, highlighting Rogen and Goldberg’s ambitious single-take staging as the kind of flashy technical achievement voters love to reward.
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The Hollywood Reporter suggests not to count out Hacks: “A Slippery Slope”, noting Lucia Aniello’s sharp direction has already brought the series multiple wins in the past.
In summary:
It feels like a close contest between The Bear and The Studio, one emotional and character-driven, the other showy and technically daring — with Hacks as a strong, proven contender.
My Prediction:
I’m leaning toward The Bear: “Napkins.” Edebiri crafted something that feels bigger than a sitcom episode — it’s soulful, cinematic, and unforgettable. Emmy voters might not resist giving her a trophy for a directorial debut this bold.
If I Had the Vote:
I’d give it to Nathan Fielder – The Rehearsal: “Pilot’s Code” This guy is a genius and every show he gives us something completely new and crazy. Awkward, experimental, and somehow hilarious while making you squirm. It’s the kind of directing choice that feels risky, and I respect that way more than anything safe.